U.S. Inflation Accelerates in June as Core PCE Hits 2.8%, Driven by Tariffs and Rising Import Costs

Home  U.S. Inflation Accelerates in June as Core PCE Hits 2.8%, Driven by Tariffs and Rising Import Costs


U.S. Inflation Accelerates in June as Core PCE Hits 2.8%, Driven by Tariffs and Rising Import Costs

2025-07-31 @ 22:01

Price growth in the U.S. accelerated in June, according to the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. The PCE rose 0.3% from May to June, marking an annual increase of 2.6%. This uptick reflects a faster pace than the 2.4% rise over the previous year, indicating inflationary pressures are persisting.

When excluding volatile categories such as food and energy, the core PCE also advanced by 0.3% for the month and stood 2.8% higher than a year ago. This annual rate is unchanged from the previous month but remains above the central bank’s 2% target, underscoring continued concerns about sticky underlying inflation.

One of the significant drivers behind the recent acceleration in prices is the renewed uncertainty caused by broad-based tariffs imposed by the U.S. administration. The increased cost of imported goods—such as appliances, furniture, and toys—has contributed noticeably to consumer price hikes, making the inflation figures more pronounced.

Despite rising inflation, the Federal Reserve opted to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 4.3%. Policymakers signaled caution, indicating they are monitoring whether this tariff-driven price surge will be temporary or if it will have a more lasting impact on inflation trends.

Consumer spending showed only modest growth, increasing by 0.3% in June after a flat May, while personal income bounced back by 0.3%. However, when adjusting for inflation, real wage growth stagnated, suggesting higher prices are eroding purchasing power.

Overall, June’s data highlights the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve as it attempts to balance inflation risks with economic growth, all while uncertainty surrounding trade policy continues to shape the inflation outlook.

Tag:
Latest Technical Analysis
xauusd-1 hour

xauusd-1 hour

XAUUSD-1 hour

XAUUSD-1 hour

XAUUSD-1 hour

XAUUSD-1 hour

XAUUSD-1 hour

XAUUSD-1 hour

1 2 3 21
Latest Chart Pattern
GBPUSD 1d

GBPUSD 1d

HGc1 1d

HGc1 1d

USDJPY 1h

USDJPY 1h

1 2 3 14

1uptick Analytics @

Maximize your profit at ease

Risk Warning​

*Investment involves risk. You may use the information, strategies and trading signals on this website for academic and reference purposes at your own discretion. 1uptick cannot and does not guarantee that any current or future buy or sell comments and messages posted on this website/app will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. It is impossible for 1uptick to make such guarantees and users should not make such assumptions. Readers should seek independent professional advice before executing a transaction. 1uptick will not solicit any subscribers or visitors to execute any transactions, and you are responsible for all executed transactions.

© 2022-25 – 1uptick Analytics all rights reserved.

 
 
Risk Warning​

*Investment involves risk. You may use the information, strategies and trading signals on this website for academic and reference purposes at your own discretion. 1uptick cannot and does not guarantee that any current or future buy or sell comments and messages posted on this website/app will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. It is impossible for 1uptick to make such guarantees and users should not make such assumptions. Readers should seek independent professional advice before executing a transaction. 1uptick will not solicit any subscribers or visitors to execute any transactions, and you are responsible for all executed transactions.

© 1uptick Analytics all rights reserved.

Home
Analysis
Calendar
Tools
Signals