Ontario is striking back at U.S. tariffs with a **25% surcharge** on electricity exports to Michigan, Minnesota, and New York. This move, led by Premier Doug Ford, is driving up U.S. household energy bills by **$100 per month** while generating millions for Ontario. As tensions rise, Ontario is warning of further measures, including a complete export cutoff. With political leaders on both sides scrambling for solutions, the Canada-U.S. trade war is heating up. **Will more provinces join Ontario’s strategy?**

Ukraine and Russia’s peace negotiations remain fraught with challenges as both sides hold firm on key demands. The US decision to pause military aid has added further complexity, raising concerns about Western unity and geopolitical stability. With upcoming talks in Saudi Arabia focusing on limited ceasefire measures, the chances of a broader resolution remain uncertain. Ongoing tensions continue to impact global markets, particularly energy prices. Stay updated on the latest developments shaping the future of this conflict.

Nasdaq-100 plunges over $1.1 trillion as a tech sell-off accelerates, sending major indices into correction territory. Weak jobs data and policy uncertainty fuel investor fears, while major tech stocks like Intel and Hewlett Packard Enterprise suffer sharp declines. Despite the rout, Broadcom and Nvidia see some relief. With Oracle and Adobe set to report earnings soon, all eyes are on whether the tech sector can rebound or if further volatility lies ahead. Stay tuned for key market insights.

Fed rate cuts are shaping economic expectations for 2025, with analysts predicting at least two reductions by year-end. However, the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance means interest rates may stay higher for longer. Mortgage rates are expected to decline slightly but remain above 6.5% into 2026. Inflation concerns persist, driven by trade policies and labor market strength. As policy shifts continue, investors and businesses must navigate a complex financial landscape shaped by the Fed’s evolving approach.

ECB Lowers Interest Rates as Inflation Outlook Stabilizes

The European Central Bank has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, citing stable inflation trends. The deposit facility rate now stands at 2.50%, with further reductions in refinancing and lending rates. Inflation is forecasted to ease to 2.0% by 2027, allowing for a more accommodative policy stance. However, economic growth projections remain weak amid global uncertainties. The ECB emphasizes a data-driven approach, balancing inflation control with economic support in an evolving financial landscape.

China’s inflation surged to **0.5%** in January 2025, its highest level since August 2024, driven by Lunar New Year spending, government stimulus, and accommodative monetary policies. Food and non-food prices rose, with pork jumping **13.8%** and education costs up **1.7%**. Policymakers aim to stimulate growth while managing trade tensions and potential currency depreciation. As markets react, China’s fiscal and monetary adjustments will be crucial in navigating economic headwinds. Stay updated on China’s evolving inflation landscape.

China is leveraging food exports as a strategic tool in escalating trade tensions with the U.S. As American farmers brace for potential tariff retaliation, China’s broader trade struggles are becoming more apparent, with weakening exports and declining domestic demand. Meanwhile, Beijing is implementing economic measures to sustain growth, including government stimulus and trade diversification. With tariff pressures mounting, China’s manufacturing and consumer sectors face uncertainty—raising questions about the long-term stability of the world’s second-largest economy.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized patience in adjusting interest rates amid economic uncertainty driven by Trump administration policies. Trade tensions, tariffs, and inflation expectations remain critical concerns, with markets reacting to shifting fiscal strategies. The Fed is closely monitoring economic data, maintaining flexibility to respond as needed. As bond yields rise and growth forecasts fluctuate, investors face heightened volatility. Powell’s cautious stance signals a wait-and-see approach as policymakers assess the evolving impact of trade, taxation, and deregulation on the economy.

US hiring is expected to stay strong in February despite economic uncertainties. Economists predict **170,000 new jobs**, rebounding from January’s weaker growth. Key factors include a **boost from mild weather** and expansion in the **services sector**. However, **federal job cuts** and **new trade tariffs** could impact future employment trends. Sector highlights include **AI job growth**, while construction and manufacturing continue to face challenges. Stay updated as the labor market’s performance may influence **interest rates and financial markets**.

Bank of Japan signals cautious but steady interest rate hikes as inflation and wage growth strengthen. Deputy Chief Ryozo Himino emphasizes a measured tightening strategy, with inflation expected to stay above 2% until 2026. Wage negotiations support a higher-rate environment, while analysts predict a gradual increase to 1.0% by 2026. Market watchers anticipate a steeper yield curve and potential rate adjustments influenced by global economic trends. Stay updated on Japan’s evolving monetary policy landscape.